April 15, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 153 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Pat Sabatini's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Sabatini for the expected result. Had TJ Laramie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Pat Sabatini earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 135 | 848 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Pat Sabatini dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 22 total strikes, 36 vs 15 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 48.4% accuracy. Pat Sabatini capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:59 | 4:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 250 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Pat Sabatini dominated TJ Laramie on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 7:59 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 574 |
| Activity ELO | 1 145 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -13 |
Pat Sabatini demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pat Sabatini capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Laramie's 574-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -15 |
Pat Sabatini extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Laramie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | TJ Laramie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

