April 23, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 049 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Pat Sabatini earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Pat Sabatini controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 19 significant strikes, 57.8% vs 38.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pat Sabatini capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:58 | 1:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Pat Sabatini landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 588 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Pat Sabatini demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Pat Sabatini capitalized on this activity level, while Tristan Connelly's 588-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Pat Sabatini started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tristan Connelly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.