November 19, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 136 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Pat Sabatini earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Pat Sabatini dominated the striking exchanges with 111 vs 36 total strikes, 66.7% vs 48.6% accuracy. Pat Sabatini capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:55 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 217 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Pat Sabatini dominated Tucker Lutz on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 10:55 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 119 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -18 |
Pat Sabatini demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Pat Sabatini capitalized on this activity level, while Tucker Lutz's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Pat Sabatini extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tucker Lutz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pat Sabatini | Tucker Lutz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.