April 12, 2025
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Yair Rodriguez's 15-fight experience advantage (16 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yair Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Patricio Pitbull pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 995 | 1 503 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
Yair Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 989 | 1 487 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Yair Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 23 total strikes, 70 vs 17 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 34.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 1:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled Patricio Pitbull on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:43 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 414 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +4 |
Yair Rodriguez demonstrated extended layoff with 414 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Patricio Pitbull's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +10 |
Yair Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patricio Pitbull is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patricio Pitbull | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.