July 4, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Patrick Cote's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Ricardo Almeida pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 226 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Patrick Cote receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 211 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Ricardo Almeida lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Patrick Cote's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 4:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Patrick Cote did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ricardo Almeida on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:45 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 164 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated solid activity levels with 164 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Ricardo Almeida's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -20 |
Patrick Cote extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricardo Almeida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Ricardo Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.