February 2, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Patrick Cote's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Scott Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 968 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Patrick Cote earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 926 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Patrick Cote controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 35 total strikes, 50 vs 34 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 37.8% accuracy. Patrick Cote capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:27 | 2:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 865 | 859 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Patrick Cote controlled Scott Smith on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:27 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -25 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Smith's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Patrick Cote started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 952 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.