April 7, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (21 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 270 | 1 366 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Thiago Alves earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 1 375 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Thiago Alves dominated the striking exchanges with 103 vs 51 total strikes, 79 vs 44 significant strikes, 50.3% vs 33.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Thiago Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 2:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 028 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Thiago Alves controlled Patrick Cote on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:42 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 193 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +33 |
Thiago Alves demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cote's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 081 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Thiago Alves started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

