October 21, 2004
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Tito Ortiz's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tito Ortiz for the expected result. Had Patrick Cote pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 992 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 1 382 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Tito Ortiz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 166 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 977 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Tito Ortiz dominated the striking exchanges with 166 vs 26 total strikes, 45 vs 11 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 40.7% accuracy. Tito Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 12:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 44 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tito Ortiz dominated Patrick Cote on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 12:41 of control time, 44 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +9 |
Tito Ortiz demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tito Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cote's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +13 |
Tito Ortiz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

