October 22, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +46 |
Tom Lawlor overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Patrick Cote.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 124 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Tom Lawlor earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 153 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 062 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Tom Lawlor dominated the striking exchanges with 153 vs 28 total strikes, 49 vs 6 significant strikes, 65.3% vs 27.3% accuracy. Tom Lawlor capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 13:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 866 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Tom Lawlor dominated Patrick Cote on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 13:02 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Tom Lawlor demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Lawlor capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cote's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 995 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Tom Lawlor started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 970 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

