November 10, 2006
Ultimate Fighter 4 Middleweight Tournament Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 918 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 933 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 906 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +58 |
Travis Lutter earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 875 | 978 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 780 | 931 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Travis Lutter controlled Patrick Cote on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:57 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 463 | 449 |
| Activity ELO | 934 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +17 |
Travis Lutter demonstrated extended layoff with 449 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Travis Lutter capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cote's 463-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 929 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Travis Lutter started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cote | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 927 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

