June 6, 2014
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 067 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -45 |
Patrick Cummins gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 859 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -141 |
Patrick Cummins controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 4 total strikes, 32 vs 3 significant strikes, 58.2% vs 13.6% accuracy. Patrick Cummins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:55 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 056 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Patrick Cummins controlled Roger Narvaez on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:55 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -22 |
Patrick Cummins demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cummins capitalized on this activity level, while Roger Narvaez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Patrick Cummins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roger Narvaez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Cummins | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.