March 10, 1994
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:58 | 0:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -47 |
Patrick Smith locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:58 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 118 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 035 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -22 |
Patrick Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Wizard's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Patrick Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ray Wizard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Ray Wizard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.