March 10, 1994
UFC 2 Tournament Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 052 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Royce Gracie's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Royce Gracie for the expected result. Had Patrick Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +44 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Royce Gracie captured the UFC 2 Tournament Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:17 | 1:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 235 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +68 |
Royce Gracie earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Royce Gracie slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 50.0% accuracy. Royce Gracie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 081 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 423 | 1 702 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +134 |
Royce Gracie demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Royce Gracie capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Smith's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +42 |
Royce Gracie continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Patrick Smith's now at 0.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 028 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.