Patrick Smith vs Rudyard Moncayo

July 13, 1995

Open Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1162
(+37)
Patrick Smith
Winner: Patrick Smith
Submission
Round 1 • 1:08

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Patrick Smith+37
Rudyard Moncayo-35
965
(-35)
Rudyard Moncayo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +27Rudyard Moncayo: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Total UFC Fights61
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 079973
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Patrick Smith's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Smith for the expected result. Had Rudyard Moncayo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +19Rudyard Moncayo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 049981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +33Rudyard Moncayo: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:081:08
Win Type ELO1 268983
ELO Change+33-17
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What Happened

Patrick Smith earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +76Rudyard Moncayo: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Significant Strikes Landed60
Significant Strikes Attempted80
Total Strikes Landed102
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 185924
ELO Change+76-76
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What Happened

Patrick Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Patrick Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +100Rudyard Moncayo: -100

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time----
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 181900
ELO Change+100-100
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What Happened

Patrick Smith dominated Rudyard Moncayo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +3Rudyard Moncayo: -3

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Days Since Last Fight490N/A
Activity ELO1 426997
ELO Change+3-3
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What Happened

Patrick Smith demonstrated extended layoff with 490 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Patrick Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Rudyard Moncayo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +20Rudyard Moncayo: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 064982
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

Patrick Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rudyard Moncayo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Patrick Smith: +19Rudyard Moncayo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricPatrick SmithRudyard Moncayo
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 047981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.