July 13, 1995
Open Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Patrick Smith's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Smith for the expected result. Had Rudyard Moncayo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:08 | 1:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 268 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Patrick Smith earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 185 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Patrick Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Patrick Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Patrick Smith dominated Rudyard Moncayo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 490 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 426 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Patrick Smith demonstrated extended layoff with 490 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Patrick Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Rudyard Moncayo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Patrick Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rudyard Moncayo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Rudyard Moncayo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

