March 10, 1994
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 044 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:30 | 0:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 195 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +136 | -47 |
Patrick Smith secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:30 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 164 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +163 | -163 |
Patrick Smith edged the striking exchanges with 13 vs 0 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 0.0% accuracy. Patrick Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 056 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Patrick Smith controlled Scott Morris on the ground with 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 237 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +202 | -20 |
Patrick Smith demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Patrick Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Morris's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Patrick Smith extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Morris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Patrick Smith | Scott Morris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

