December 11, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Stefan Struve earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Stefan Struve controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 43 total strikes, 54 vs 37 significant strikes. Stefan Struve capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:53 | 5:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Stefan Struve edged out Paul Buentello on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:50 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 407 | 50 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +110 |
Stefan Struve demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 50 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Buentello's 1407-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Stefan Struve extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Buentello is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paul Buentello | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.