Paul Craig vs Tyson Pedro

March 3, 2017

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1019
(-41)
Paul Craig
Winner: Tyson Pedro
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Paul Craig-41
Tyson Pedro+54
1090
(+54)
Tyson Pedro

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -23Tyson Pedro: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 0641 095
ELO Change-23+34
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -21Tyson Pedro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0031 041
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -46Tyson Pedro: +99

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:104:10
Win Type ELO1 0471 160
ELO Change-46+99
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -102Tyson Pedro: +102

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Significant Strikes Landed1223
Significant Strikes Attempted2435
Total Strikes Landed2934
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9511 129
ELO Change-102+102
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 12 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyson Pedro capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -72Tyson Pedro: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:062:37
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO1 0741 131
ELO Change-72+72
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -21Tyson Pedro: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Days Since Last Fight7798
Activity ELO1 0041 073
ELO Change-21+53
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyson Pedro capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -21Tyson Pedro: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0051 047
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Craig: -21Tyson Pedro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul CraigTyson Pedro
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0031 041
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.