March 3, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 064 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 047 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +99 |
Tyson Pedro earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Tyson Pedro controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 12 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyson Pedro capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 2:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Tyson Pedro landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Tyson Pedro demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyson Pedro capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Tyson Pedro extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

