July 22, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +52 |
Volkan Oezdemir overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Craig.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 382 | 1 375 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Volkan Oezdemir earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 126 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 248 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Volkan Oezdemir dominated the striking exchanges with 108 vs 41 total strikes, 72 vs 33 significant strikes, 55.8% vs 26.2% accuracy. Volkan Oezdemir capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 5:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 182 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Volkan Oezdemir controlled Paul Craig on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:09 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Volkan Oezdemir demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Volkan Oezdemir capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Volkan Oezdemir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.