Paul Felder vs Stevie Ray

July 15, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1177
(+50)
Paul Felder
Winner: Paul Felder
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Paul Felder+50
Stevie Ray-41
1104
(-41)
Stevie Ray

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +37Stevie Ray: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Total UFC Fights97
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1701 158
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Felder for the expected result. Had Stevie Ray pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +23Stevie Ray: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0711 055
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +75Stevie Ray: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:573:57
Win Type ELO1 2971 127
ELO Change+75-35
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +111Stevie Ray: -111

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Significant Strikes Landed235
Significant Strikes Attempted359
Total Strikes Landed2811
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3011 060
ELO Change+111-111
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 5 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 55.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paul Felder capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +48Stevie Ray: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time1:061:45
Ground Strikes Landed120
Ground ELO1 1831 054
ELO Change+48-48
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +54Stevie Ray: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Days Since Last Fight14785
Activity ELO1 2261 248
ELO Change+54-27
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Felder capitalized on this activity level, while Stevie Ray's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +27Stevie Ray: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0961 076
ELO Change+27-23
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stevie Ray is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Felder: +23Stevie Ray: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul FelderStevie Ray
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0711 055
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.