January 18, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Paul Kelly overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Taylor.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 049 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Paul Kelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 154 | 149 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 034 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Paul Kelly controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 43 significant strikes. Paul Kelly capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:07 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 46 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 081 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Paul Kelly controlled Paul Taylor on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 12:07 of control time, 46 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Paul Kelly demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paul Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Taylor's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Paul Kelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Taylor is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paul Kelly | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.