Paul Kelly vs TJ O'Brien

Paul Kelly's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Kelly for the expected result. Had TJ O'Brien pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Paul Kelly gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Paul Kelly dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 38 total strikes, 44 vs 32 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paul Kelly capitalized on this striking dominance.

Paul Kelly controlled TJ O'Brien on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:54 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Paul Kelly demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while TJ O'Brien's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Paul Kelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ O'Brien is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.