Paul Kelly vs Troy Mandaloniz

February 20, 2009

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1054
(+41)
Paul Kelly
Winner: Paul Kelly
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Paul Kelly+41
Troy Mandaloniz-38
1005
(-38)
Troy Mandaloniz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +30Troy Mandaloniz: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Total UFC Fights32
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 072991
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +22Troy Mandaloniz: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 025999
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +49Troy Mandaloniz: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0811 041
ELO Change+49-49
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What Happened

Paul Kelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +63Troy Mandaloniz: -63

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Significant Strikes Landed7138
Significant Strikes Attempted19082
Total Strikes Landed19244
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0611 029
ELO Change+63-63
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What Happened

Paul Kelly dominated the striking exchanges with 192 vs 44 total strikes, 71 vs 38 significant strikes, 37.4% vs 46.3% accuracy. Paul Kelly capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +72Troy Mandaloniz: -72

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Takedowns Landed24
Takedowns Attempted64
Ground Control Time6:232:45
Ground Strikes Landed153
Ground ELO1 080983
ELO Change+72-72
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What Happened

Paul Kelly controlled Troy Mandaloniz on the ground with 2 takedowns, 6:23 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +43Troy Mandaloniz: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Days Since Last Fight127441
Activity ELO1 053999
ELO Change+43-22
💡

What Happened

Paul Kelly demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while Troy Mandaloniz's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +24Troy Mandaloniz: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0321 001
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Paul Kelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Troy Mandaloniz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Paul Kelly: +22Troy Mandaloniz: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricPaul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 025999
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.