June 28, 2001
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:05 | 1:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +70 |
Tony DeSouza earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Tony DeSouza edged out Paul Rodriguez on the ground with 0:32 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +99 |
Tony DeSouza demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tony DeSouza capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Rodriguez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Tony DeSouza extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paul Rodriguez | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.