June 12, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Paul Taylor's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Taylor for the expected result. Had Peter Sobotta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Paul Taylor earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Paul Taylor dominated the striking exchanges with 80 vs 19 total strikes, 46 vs 18 significant strikes. Paul Taylor capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:33 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Paul Taylor controlled Peter Sobotta on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:33 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Paul Taylor demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paul Taylor capitalized on this activity level, while Peter Sobotta's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Paul Taylor started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Peter Sobotta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paul Taylor | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

