Paulo Costa vs Yoel Romero

August 16, 2019

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1250
(+50)
Paulo Costa
Winner: Paulo Costa
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Paulo Costa+50
Yoel Romero-45
1331
(-45)
Yoel Romero

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +59Yoel Romero: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Total UFC Fights512
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 2741 277
ELO Change+59-40
💡

What Happened

Paulo Costa overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Yoel Romero.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +26Yoel Romero: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1091 139
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +67Yoel Romero: -67

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4661 565
ELO Change+67-67
💡

What Happened

Paulo Costa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +87Yoel Romero: -87

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Significant Strikes Landed118125
Significant Strikes Attempted213284
Total Strikes Landed118125
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO1 4481 550
ELO Change+87-87
💡

What Happened

Yoel Romero controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (125 vs 118), superior accuracy (44.0% vs 55.4%), 1 knockdown. However, since Yoel Romero lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paulo Costa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +47Yoel Romero: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:060:13
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 2301 444
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +25Yoel Romero: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Days Since Last Fight406434
Activity ELO1 1941 253
ELO Change+25-28
💡

What Happened

Paulo Costa demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Paulo Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Yoel Romero's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +62Yoel Romero: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 1701 297
ELO Change+62-33
💡

What Happened

Paulo Costa continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Yoel Romero's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Paulo Costa: +25Yoel Romero: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricPaulo CostaYoel Romero
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1061 126
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.