August 16, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 274 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -40 |
Paulo Costa overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Yoel Romero.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 109 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 466 | 1 565 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Paulo Costa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 118 | 125 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 213 | 284 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 125 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 448 | 1 550 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Yoel Romero controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (125 vs 118), superior accuracy (44.0% vs 55.4%), 1 knockdown. However, since Yoel Romero lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paulo Costa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 230 | 1 444 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 406 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 194 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -28 |
Paulo Costa demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Paulo Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Yoel Romero's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 170 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -33 |
Paulo Costa continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Yoel Romero's now at 0.
| Metric | Paulo Costa | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

