April 13, 2012
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Siyar Bahadurzada overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paulo Thiago.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:42 | 0:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 133 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +168 |
Siyar Bahadurzada secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:42 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -195 | +195 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 110 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Siyar Bahadurzada demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Siyar Bahadurzada capitalized on this activity level, while Paulo Thiago's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Siyar Bahadurzada started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paulo Thiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paulo Thiago | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

