April 5, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 961 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Victor Henry's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Victor Henry for the expected result. Had Pedro Falcao pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Victor Henry earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 139 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 910 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Victor Henry dominated the striking exchanges with 139 vs 69 total strikes, 73 vs 57 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Victor Henry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:58 | 4:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 925 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Victor Henry landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 365 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 964 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +27 |
Victor Henry demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Victor Henry capitalized on this activity level, while Pedro Falcao's 365-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Victor Henry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pedro Falcao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pedro Falcao | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

