February 21, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Raphael Assuncao's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raphael Assuncao for the expected result. Had Pedro Munhoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 981 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Raphael Assuncao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 206 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Raphael Assuncao dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 41 total strikes, 100 vs 33 significant strikes, 48.5% vs 33.0% accuracy. Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Raphael Assuncao controlled Pedro Munhoz on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:04 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 137 |
| Activity ELO | 988 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +24 |
Raphael Assuncao demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while Pedro Munhoz's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +33 |
Raphael Assuncao continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Pedro Munhoz's now at 0.
| Metric | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

