November 18, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 184 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:17 | 1:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 284 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Pedro Rizzo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 279 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Pedro Rizzo controlled the striking exchanges with 29.8% vs 42.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pedro Rizzo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Pedro Rizzo demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Rizzo capitalized on this activity level, while Tsuyoshi Kohsaka's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -19 |
Pedro Rizzo extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tsuyoshi Kohsaka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pedro Rizzo | Tsuyoshi Kohsaka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.