February 2, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:32 | 0:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +129 |
Themba Gorimbo secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:32 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 855 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -174 | +174 |
Themba Gorimbo controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 0 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 932 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Themba Gorimbo landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 477 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Themba Gorimbo demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this activity level, while Pete Rodriguez's 477-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Themba Gorimbo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pete Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pete Rodriguez | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.