November 10, 2006
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +40 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:25 | 3:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +104 |
Scott Smith gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 860 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Pete Sell controlled the striking through superior volume (44 vs 26 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (32 vs 26). However, since Pete Sell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Scott Smith's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 944 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Scott Smith did not secure a significant ground advantage against Pete Sell on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 463 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Scott Smith demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Scott Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Pete Sell's 463-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Scott Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pete Sell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pete Sell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.