April 24, 2003
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 120 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -57 |
Pete Spratt earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Robbie Lawler was submitted.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Pete Spratt slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 70.4% vs 60.0% accuracy. Pete Spratt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:39 | 2:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Pete Spratt controlled Robbie Lawler on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:39 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -29 |
Pete Spratt demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pete Spratt capitalized on this activity level, while Robbie Lawler's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Pete Spratt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robbie Lawler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pete Spratt | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

