May 6, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Pete Williams's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pete Williams for the expected result. Had Travis Fulton pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 6:28 | 6:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 199 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -24 |
Pete Williams earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 6:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 152 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Pete Williams edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 6 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 27.3% accuracy. Pete Williams capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 133 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Pete Williams controlled Travis Fulton on the ground with 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -17 |
Pete Williams demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Pete Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Travis Fulton's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Pete Williams extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Travis Fulton is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pete Williams | Travis Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

