October 21, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 249 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 159 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 502 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sean O'Malley receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 96 | 163 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 499 | 1 430 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Sean O'Malley controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 58 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 60.4% accuracy. Sean O'Malley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:44 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 333 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Sean O'Malley did not secure a significant ground advantage against Petr Yan on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 292 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +70 |
Sean O'Malley demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean O'Malley capitalized on this activity level, while Petr Yan's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 211 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Sean O'Malley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Petr Yan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Petr Yan | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 104 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.