March 25, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 178 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 242 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Phil Davis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 333 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Phil Davis dominated the striking exchanges with 72 vs 16 total strikes, 42 vs 8 significant strikes, 41.6% vs 14.8% accuracy. Phil Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 340 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Phil Davis dominated Rogerio Nogueira on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:09 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -14 |
Phil Davis demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Phil Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Rogerio Nogueira's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 129 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Phil Davis continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rogerio Nogueira's now at 0.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.