November 19, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -26 |
Phil Davis overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Boetsch.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:55 | 2:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 209 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -38 |
Phil Davis earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Boetsch was submitted.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 284 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Phil Davis controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 10 total strikes, 33 vs 7 significant strikes. Phil Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:46 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 312 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Phil Davis dominated Tim Boetsch on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:46 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -16 |
Phil Davis demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Phil Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Boetsch's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -19 |
Phil Davis extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Boetsch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.