Phil Davis vs Vinny Magalhaes

April 26, 2013

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1222
(+13)
Phil Davis
Winner: Phil Davis
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Phil Davis+13
Vinny Magalhaes-12
980
(-12)
Vinny Magalhaes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +18Vinny Magalhaes: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Total UFC Fights94
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 195997
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Phil Davis's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Phil Davis for the expected result. Had Vinny Magalhaes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +14Vinny Magalhaes: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 114972
ELO Change+14-14
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +19Vinny Magalhaes: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2751 024
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Phil Davis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +8Vinny Magalhaes: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Significant Strikes Landed7929
Significant Strikes Attempted268151
Total Strikes Landed8330
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 349912
ELO Change+8-8
💡

What Happened

Phil Davis dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 30 total strikes, 79 vs 29 significant strikes, 29.5% vs 19.2% accuracy. Phil Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +5Vinny Magalhaes: -5

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:550:20
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3601 005
ELO Change+5-5
💡

What Happened

Phil Davis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Vinny Magalhaes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:55 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +11Vinny Magalhaes: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Days Since Last Fight196217
Activity ELO1 223979
ELO Change+11-9
💡

What Happened

Phil Davis demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Phil Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Vinny Magalhaes's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +15Vinny Magalhaes: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 146977
ELO Change+15-13
💡

What Happened

Phil Davis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vinny Magalhaes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Phil Davis: +15Vinny Magalhaes: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricPhil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 112971
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.