April 26, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 195 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Phil Davis's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Phil Davis for the expected result. Had Vinny Magalhaes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 275 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Phil Davis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 79 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 268 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 349 | 912 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Phil Davis dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 30 total strikes, 79 vs 29 significant strikes, 29.5% vs 19.2% accuracy. Phil Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 360 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
Phil Davis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Vinny Magalhaes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:55 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 223 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -9 |
Phil Davis demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Phil Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Vinny Magalhaes's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 146 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -13 |
Phil Davis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vinny Magalhaes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Phil Davis | Vinny Magalhaes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

