October 28, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:09 | 4:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 136 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +87 |
Roman Dolidze earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Roman Dolidze controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 11 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Roman Dolidze capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 123 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Roman Dolidze landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 091 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +41 |
Roman Dolidze demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Dolidze capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Hawes's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Roman Dolidze extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Hawes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.