February 14, 2012
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:43 | 0:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +108 |
Stipe Miocic secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:43 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 934 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 47.1% vs 38.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 102 | 131 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated solid activity levels with 131 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Philip De Fries's 102-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Stipe Miocic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Philip De Fries is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Philip De Fries | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

