Philip De Fries vs Todd Duffee

December 28, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1012
(-34)
Philip De Fries
Winner: Todd Duffee
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:04

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Philip De Fries-34
Todd Duffee+39
1076
(+39)
Todd Duffee

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -33Todd Duffee: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Total UFC Fights43
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 0391 093
ELO Change-33+35
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -22Todd Duffee: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9981 023
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -33Todd Duffee: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:042:04
Win Type ELO1 0291 211
ELO Change-33+74
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What Happened

Todd Duffee earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -94Todd Duffee: +94

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Significant Strikes Landed720
Significant Strikes Attempted1331
Total Strikes Landed1222
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9091 140
ELO Change-94+94
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What Happened

Todd Duffee controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 7 significant strikes, 64.5% vs 53.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Todd Duffee capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -26Todd Duffee: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:540:33
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1051 071
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Todd Duffee did not secure a significant ground advantage against Philip De Fries on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -23Todd Duffee: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Days Since Last Fight148946
Activity ELO1 0121 022
ELO Change-23+21
💡

What Happened

Todd Duffee demonstrated extended layoff with 946 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Todd Duffee capitalized on this activity level, while Philip De Fries's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -22Todd Duffee: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0021 028
ELO Change-22+24
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What Happened

Todd Duffee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Philip De Fries is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Philip De Fries: -22Todd Duffee: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricPhilip De FriesTodd Duffee
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9981 023
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.