September 23, 2016
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 922 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Renan Barao's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renan Barao for the expected result. Had Phillipe Nover pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 936 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 894 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Renan Barao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 141 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 869 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Renan Barao controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 39 significant strikes, 42.4% vs 27.7% accuracy. Renan Barao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 830 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Renan Barao edged out Phillipe Nover on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:31 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 289 | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 938 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +21 |
Renan Barao demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Renan Barao capitalized on this activity level, while Phillipe Nover's 289-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 942 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
Renan Barao started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phillipe Nover is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Phillipe Nover | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 935 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.