March 24, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 986 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Trevin Giles's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Trevin Giles for the expected result. Had Preston Parsons pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 017 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Trevin Giles receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Trevin Giles edged the striking exchanges with 55 vs 42 significant strikes. Trevin Giles capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:16 | 4:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Trevin Giles did not secure a significant ground advantage against Preston Parsons on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:14 of control time, 14 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 337 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 994 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Trevin Giles demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Trevin Giles capitalized on this activity level, while Preston Parsons's 337-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Trevin Giles extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Preston Parsons is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.