February 2, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Valentina Shevchenko's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Valentina Shevchenko for the expected result. Had Priscila Cachoeira pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:25 | 4:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +40 |
Valentina Shevchenko earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Priscila Cachoeira was submitted.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 95 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 230 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 905 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Valentina Shevchenko dominated the striking exchanges with 230 vs 3 total strikes, 95 vs 2 significant strikes, 84.1% vs 16.7% accuracy. Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 84 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Valentina Shevchenko dominated Priscila Cachoeira on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:32 of control time, 84 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +33 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Priscila Cachoeira's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Valentina Shevchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Priscila Cachoeira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

