January 13, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +45 |
Roman Kopylov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Punahele Soriano.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:19 | 3:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +118 |
Roman Kopylov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Roman Kopylov controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 39 total strikes, 82 vs 39 significant strikes, 64.1% vs 36.4% accuracy. Roman Kopylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 961 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +48 |
Roman Kopylov demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Kopylov capitalized on this activity level, while Punahele Soriano's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
Roman Kopylov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Punahele Soriano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Punahele Soriano | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

