May 28, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Rashad Evans's 5-fight experience advantage (12 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rashad Evans for the expected result. Had Quinton Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 168 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 308 | 1 463 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Rashad Evans earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Rashad Evans controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 27 total strikes, 29 vs 17 significant strikes, 55.8% vs 36.2% accuracy. Rashad Evans capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 7:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 205 | 1 470 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Rashad Evans controlled Quinton Jackson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:42 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 448 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 240 | 1 355 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Rashad Evans demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Quinton Jackson's 448-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Rashad Evans extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Quinton Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.