February 24, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 183 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +45 |
Ryan Bader overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Quinton Jackson.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 160 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Ryan Bader earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 282 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Ryan Bader dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 30 total strikes, 55 vs 16 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 41.0% accuracy. Ryan Bader capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 8:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -140 | +140 |
Ryan Bader dominated Quinton Jackson on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 8:47 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 258 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +70 |
Ryan Bader demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Quinton Jackson's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Ryan Bader extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Quinton Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Quinton Jackson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

