March 29, 2025
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -35 |
Rafa Garcia overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vinc Pichel.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 170 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Rafa Garcia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 182 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Vinc Pichel controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (79 vs 64). However, since Vinc Pichel lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rafa Garcia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:15 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 212 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Rafa Garcia edged out Vinc Pichel on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:15 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 330 |
| Activity ELO | 1 167 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Rafa Garcia demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafa Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Vinc Pichel's 330-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Rafa Garcia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vinc Pichel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rafa Garcia | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.