July 8, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 32 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 25 | -25 |
| Experience ELO | 1 254 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +101 |
Rafael Fiziev overcame a 25-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 32 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 188 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 0:18 | 0:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 397 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +116 |
Rafael Fiziev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 159 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 271 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | -135 | +135 |
Rafael Fiziev controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 54 significant strikes, 40.3% vs 49.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Fiziev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 16 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:13 | 2:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 437 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Rafael Fiziev landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 418 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +44 |
Rafael Fiziev demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Fiziev capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 234 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +68 |
Rafael Fiziev continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rafael Dos Anjos's now at 0.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 139 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.