August 11, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 34 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 247 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +65 |
Vicente Luque overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (20 vs 34 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 179 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 416 | 1 525 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Vicente Luque earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 138 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 265 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 138 vs 94 total strikes, 72 vs 66 significant strikes. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:54 | 12:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 348 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | -136 | +136 |
Vicente Luque dominated Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 8 vs 2 takedowns, 12:01 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 415 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +23 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 226 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Vicente Luque started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Dos Anjos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rafael Dos Anjos | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 134 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.