Rafael Natal vs Rich Attonito

September 14, 2010

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

971
(-29)
Rafael Natal
Winner: Rich Attonito
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Rafael Natal-29
Rich Attonito+34
1073
(+34)
Rich Attonito

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -30Rich Attonito: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9701 051
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -20Rich Attonito: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -32Rich Attonito: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9681 118
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Rich Attonito earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -44Rich Attonito: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Significant Strikes Landed2825
Significant Strikes Attempted10280
Total Strikes Landed5146
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9561 099
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

Rich Attonito controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rich Attonito capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -46Rich Attonito: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted91
Ground Control Time1:363:15
Ground Strikes Landed110
Ground ELO9541 110
ELO Change-46+46
💡

What Happened

Rich Attonito landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -20Rich Attonito: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Days Since Last FightN/A88
Activity ELO9801 080
ELO Change-20+59
💡

What Happened

Rich Attonito demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rich Attonito capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Natal's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -20Rich Attonito: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9801 047
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Rich Attonito extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Natal is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Rafael Natal: -20Rich Attonito: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricRafael NatalRich Attonito
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.